Climate policy accelerates structural changes in energy employment

dc.contributor.authorMalik, Aman
dc.contributor.authorBertram, Christoph
dc.contributor.authorKriegler, Elmar
dc.contributor.authorLuderer, Gunnar
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-02T08:42:09Z
dc.date.available2022-05-02T08:42:09Z
dc.date.issued2021-10-08
dc.description.abstractThe employment implications of decarbonizing the energy sector have received far less attention than the technology dimension of the transition, although being of critical importance to policymakers. In this work, we adapt a methodology based on employment factors to project future changes in quantity and composition of direct energy supply jobs for two scenarios - (1) relatively weak emissions reductions as pledged in the nationally determined contributions (NDC) and (2) stringent reductions compatible with the 1.5 °C target. We find that in the near-term the 1.5°C-compatible scenario results in a net increase in jobs through gains in solar and wind jobs in construction, installation, and manufacturing, despite significant losses in coal fuel supply; eventually leading to a peak in total direct energy jobs in 2025. In the long run, improvements in labour productivity lead to a decrease of total direct energy employment compared to today, however, total jobs are still higher in a 1.5 °C than in an NDC scenario. Operation and maintenance jobs dominate future jobs, replacing fuel supply jobs. The results point to the need for active policies aimed at retraining, both inside and outside the renewable energy sector, to complement climate policies within the concept of a “just transition”.en
dc.identifier.eissn1873-6777
dc.identifier.issn0301-4215
dc.identifier.urihttps://depositonce.tu-berlin.de/handle/11303/16783
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.14279/depositonce-15561
dc.language.isoenen
dc.relation.ispartof10.14279/depositonce-15466
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en
dc.subject.ddc620 Ingenieurwissenschaften und zugeordnete Tätigkeitende
dc.subject.ddc300 Sozialwissenschaftende
dc.subject.otherenergy supplyen
dc.subject.otheremploymenten
dc.subject.otherjust transitionen
dc.subject.otherpolitical feasibilityen
dc.subject.othermitigation pathwaysen
dc.subject.otherintegrated assessment modelsen
dc.titleClimate policy accelerates structural changes in energy employmenten
dc.typeArticleen
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.articlenumber112642en
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.doi10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112642en
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.journaltitleEnergy Policyen
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.originalpublishernameElsevieren
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.originalpublisherplaceAmsterdamen
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.volume159en
tub.accessrights.dnbfreeen
tub.affiliationFak. 3 Prozesswissenschaften::Inst. Energietechnik::FG Globale Energiesystemanalysede
tub.affiliation.facultyFak. 3 Prozesswissenschaftende
tub.affiliation.groupFG Globale Energiesystemanalysede
tub.affiliation.instituteInst. Energietechnikde
tub.publisher.universityorinstitutionTechnische Universität Berlinen

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